The short- and medium-term impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on exports: a firm-level comparison study in the UK, China and Germany

Grant number: COV19\201601

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Key facts

  • Disease

  • Known Financial Commitments (USD)

  • Funder

    British Academy
  • Principle Investigator

  • Research Location

    United Kingdom, Europe
  • Lead Research Institution

    King's College London - Department of International Development
  • Research Category

    Policies for public health, disease control & community resilience

  • Research Subcategory

    Policy research and interventions

  • Special Interest Tags


  • Study Subject


  • Clinical Trial Details


  • Broad Policy Alignment


  • Age Group

    Not Applicable

  • Vulnerable Population

    Not applicable

  • Occupations of Interest

    Not applicable


Globalisation and exports have been key drivers of economic development over the last decades. However, COVID-19 and associated public health policies have led to demand and supply-side shocks, which severely impact the long-running trend of increasing global economic integration. On the other hand, governments are developing special policies to encourage continued exporting. In this research, I am looking at two related research questions: 1) what is the causal impact that COVID-19 has on export performance and 2) do government export stimulus policies lead to better export performance. To study these questions, I am planning to access firm-level data from three leading exporting countries with differing policy responses to the pandemic: China, Germany and the UK and to apply econometric modelling, which I used in previous research, in order to identify causal effects. The econometric work will be complemented by interviews with a selection of 10 companies from each country.