RAPID: Collaborative Research: Using Phylodynamics and Line Lists for Adaptive COVID-19 Monitoring

  • Funded by National Science Foundation (NSF)
  • Total publications:0 publications

Grant number: unknown

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Key facts

  • Disease

    COVID-19
  • Start & end year

    2020
    2021
  • Known Financial Commitments (USD)

    $50,000
  • Funder

    National Science Foundation (NSF)
  • Principal Investigator

    Aditya B Prakash
  • Research Location

    United States of America
  • Lead Research Institution

    University of Virginia Main Campus
  • Research Priority Alignment

    N/A
  • Research Category

    Epidemiological studies

  • Research Subcategory

    Disease transmission dynamics

  • Special Interest Tags

    N/A

  • Study Type

    Not applicable

  • Clinical Trial Details

    N/A

  • Broad Policy Alignment

    Pending

  • Age Group

    Not Applicable

  • Vulnerable Population

    Not applicable

  • Occupations of Interest

    Not applicable

Abstract

It has been difficult to track and control the COVID-19 pandemic due to various factors such as asymptomatic transmission, high incubation period, human mobility, weather patterns and limited number of tests available. Especially as the number of cases rise, it will become hard to monitor, and request quarantine appropriately, as experience in other countries shows. Hence, this project aims to improve COVID-19 monitoring by designing more targeted and adaptive testing and intervention in a data-driven fashion. With both monitoring and intervention applications, this project directly attacks the problem through development of processes and actions to address this pandemic and also model and understand its spread. Apart from the immediate applications to the COVID-19 pandemic, the tools developed should be more broadly useful for other infectious disease settings (e.g. influenza).

The team of Data Science, Network Science, Public Health and Phylogenetic analysis experts main approach for this question is to integrate several novel datasets via inference algorithms. The project focuses on two tasks: Task 1: Aligning phylodynamics data (PD) with line lists; and Task 2: Inferring transmission chains to new infections using aligned data. The teams prior works on interventions and monitoring have been highly successful in this regard. These inferred transmission chains naturally give guidance on whom to adaptively monitor and quarantine among the new infections. The project will release its methods as research code, which should be usable by both practitioners and modelers for faster monitoring under resource constraints.

This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.