Real-time quantification of new unreported cases of COVID-19 in Spain

The proposed project aims to develop a set of mathematical models that make it possible to quantify in real time the new unreported cases of COVID-19 in Spain, by autonomous communities or by other areas of interest. The estimates provided by these models will be used to study the dynamics of the disease based on the application of compartmental epidemiological models (type SIR, SEIR, SIRS, etc.) that will allow a more precise estimate of the associated mortality and morbidity. . Similarly, these estimates will be used to carry out an exhaustive cost-effectiveness analysis in different realistic action scenarios, both from the point of view of public and social management, which may help decision-making in the field of national public health system and also within each Spanish autonomous community, in order to face the present pandemic and in similar future situations.