Medium and long-term forecast of the spread of COVID-19

This project seeks to evaluate, through simulation, of: (1) analyzing the effect of the spread of new epidemics on a European scale as well as the effectiveness of policies to restrict the movement of individuals: (2) the impact of climatic conditions (both summer and winter) in the spread of the epidemic: (3) the effect of a potential selective vaccination of the population taking into account different levels of vaccine efficacy as well as potential mutations in the virus that reduce the immunity of the group who has already been vaccinated or has suffered from the disease; (4) the efficiency of different social distancing measures (school closings, job closures or remote work for a percentage of the working class, social isolation, etc.) on the following stages of infection, taking into account different possible levels of collective immunization .