Development of forecasting models, resources and safeguards to improve crisis preparedness: COVID-19 / Consortium: PREDICT

The rapid and widespread spread of COVID-19 has had a particular impact on the economic and health crisis and security of supply, causing economic losses, morbidity and mortality. In our interdisciplinary research, we focus on raising crisis preparedness through economic, pharmaceutical and health care pathways. We will create a new harmonized register for assessing and predicting the effects of crises. We are developing forecasting models and tools to identify at an early stage the sectors and risk groups most affected by the direct and indirect effects of crises. Finally, we develop new ones and evaluate the effectiveness of existing safeguards. Our research creates new tools for managing the current crisis as well as preventive tools and forecasting models for future crises. The work is carried out at the University of Helsinki at the Finnish Institute of Molecular Medicine (Medicine and Health Sciences) and at the Faculty of Social Sciences (Economics).