RISK AND MITIGATION - COVID-19 OBSERVATORY IN THE FEDERAL DISTRICT

The group of researchers, formed by a consortium of UNB (Laboratory of Disease Dynamics, Laboratory of Geography Environment and Health, Centers for High Strategic Studies for Development), Fiocruz Brasília and Fiocruz Rio de Janeiro (Laboratory of Health Information), aims to study the dynamics of COVID-19 and its social relevance, its effects on the community and forms of control and mitigation. We propose the creation of a COVID-19 observatory. In this observatory, an efficient computational model for the mathematical and spatial prediction of COVID will be developed and applied. A part of the work is already implemented, the partial result of which is described in a pre-print article (Expected impact of COVID-19 outbreak in a major metropolitan area in Brazil, medRxiv 2020.03.14.20035873; doi:https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.14.20035873) and submitted to a high impact journal. We seek to subsidize health and economic management. It is therefore a multidisciplinary group. As a result, reports, weekly analytics will be produced with data on health and economy, containing the assessment of prospective scenarios, in the short, medium and long term, where data and information produced by different actors in our society will be aggregated by means of a robot. prospecting on the WEB. In this way, we intend to centralize data, researchers and managers for the rational confrontation of this problem, building a dynamic situation room and accessible to outside walls of the University of Brasilia.