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Estimating weekly excess mortality at sub-national level in Italy during the COVID-19 pandemic

  • Funded by UK Research and Innovation (UKRI)
  • Total publications:0 publications

Grant number: C19-IUC-475

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Key facts

  • Disease

    COVID-19

  • Start & end year

    N/A

  • Funder

    UK Research and Innovation (UKRI)

  • Principal Investigator

    Prof. Marta Blangiardo

  • Research Location

    Italy

  • Lead Research Institution

    MRC Centre for Environment and Health

  • Research Priority Alignment

    N/A

  • Research Category

    Epidemiological studies

  • Research Subcategory

    Disease surveillance & mapping

  • Special Interest Tags

    N/A

  • Study Type

    Non-Clinical

  • Clinical Trial Details

    N/A

  • Broad Policy Alignment

    Pending

  • Age Group

    Not Applicable

  • Vulnerable Population

    Not applicable

  • Occupations of Interest

    Not applicable

Abstract

This is the first subnational study on excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy, one of the worst-hit countries. We predicted the weekly mortality rates at municipality level for 2020 based on the modelled spatio-temporal trends (i.e. in the absence of the pandemic) and estimated the excess mortality and the uncertainty surrounding it.