Mosquitoes populations modelling for early warning system and rapid response public by health authorities correlating climate, weather and spatial-tem

  • Funded by UK Research and Innovation (UKRI)
  • Total publications:6 publications

Grant number: NE/T013664/1

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Key facts

  • Disease

    Zika virus disease, Other
  • Start & end year

    2020
    2024
  • Known Financial Commitments (USD)

    $665,123.92
  • Funder

    UK Research and Innovation (UKRI)
  • Principal Investigator

    N/A

  • Research Location

    N/A
  • Lead Research Institution

    N/A
  • Research Priority Alignment

    N/A
  • Research Category

    Animal and environmental research and research on diseases vectors

  • Research Subcategory

    Vector biology

  • Special Interest Tags

    Digital Health

  • Study Type

    Non-Clinical

  • Clinical Trial Details

    N/A

  • Broad Policy Alignment

    Pending

  • Age Group

    Unspecified

  • Vulnerable Population

    Unspecified

  • Occupations of Interest

    Unspecified

Abstract

As a result of the recent climate changes, mosquito-borne diseases (like Zika, dengue) are becoming endemic not only in sub-tropical regions of Africa and Latin America but in other parts of the world. This project will combine public health, mobile technology and climate modelling to evaluate the impacts of environmental changes on water providing breeding habitats for mosquitoes in Northeast Brazil. We aim to develop a series of spatial-temporal models to predict the burden of mosquito populations by deploying cutting-edge mobile and internet of things (IoT) technology leveraging multiple data sources from newly acquired climate, weather, mosquito surveillance, water and sanitation and socioeconomic data. This technology will include the use of mobile surveillance apps using gamification and citizen science technology co-developed with local stakeholders for reporting locations of water breeding points in Brazil. We will develop a data-driven early warning system to predict changes in occurrence and abundance of mosquito breeding points. This real-time system will alert public health and environmental authorities to mobilise community engagement for the prevention and rapid response to vector outbreaks. We will also develop educational content for public and community stakeholders to increase awareness of mosquito breeding habitats and water management. With public health stakeholders (WHO and Recife City Hall), we will co-develop community engagement strategies and evidence-based policies to improve standing water management and treatment. Most importantly, building on existing partnerships in the provinces in Northeast Brazil, where mosquito-borne diseases are endemic, we will work with academics and local stakeholder partners from Recife, Olinda and Campina Grande, and have a unique access to mosquito surveillance data to calibrate our predictive models in real-time via mobile app and IoT devices. Access to real-time datasets will not only provide a unique method for calibrating the predictive modelling results ? but also will put us in a position to evaluate the entire early-warning decision-support dashboard system with the authorities during their standard daily operations to ensure outstanding real-world impact on vector surveillance and public health policy. It is absolutely unique for a research project to have the opportunity to validate the research in the timeframe of the project while directly translating the results to public health authorities, policy makers, WHO, and stakeholders in Brazil, Turkey and other countries where vector-borne disease are soon to become endemic.

Publicationslinked via Europe PMC

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View all publications at Europe PMC

Low credibility URL sharing on Twitter during reporting linking rare blood clots with the Oxford/AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine.

Temporal and Spatiotemporal Arboviruses Forecasting by Machine Learning: A Systematic Review.

MEWAR: Development of a Cross-Platform Mobile Application and Web Dashboard System for Real-Time Mosquito Surveillance in Northeast Brazil.

A review exploring the overarching burden of Zika virus with emphasis on epidemiological case studies from Brazil.

The Response of Governments and Public Health Agencies to COVID-19 Pandemics on Social Media: A Multi-Country Analysis of Twitter Discourse.

Covid-19 Dynamic Monitoring and Real-Time Spatio-Temporal Forecasting.