Continue actualisering van het "Covid Outcome Prediction in the Emergency department" (COPE) model

COPE is a model that predicts the course of the disease for COVID-19 patients presenting to the emergency department. The prediction model is based on 6 objectively measurable variables that are collected as standard in the emergency room. COPE was developed based on data up to and including August 2020. This research shows that COPE also predicts well in 2021 and 2022 which patients have a high risk of death. But the observed mortality in 2022 was 10% lower than predicted. This is likely due to new virus variants (such as Omikron) and improvements in treatment. We have adjusted the parameters of COPE in such a way that the average mortality is now correctly predicted again. We have also adjusted the COPE app so that the parameters are easy to update. In this way, we have ensured that COPE will continue to provide an accurate estimate of the severity of the disease course for COVID-19 patients in the emergency department in the future.