Epidemiology and outbreak prediction of yellow fever virus

Grant number: 220414/Z/20/Z

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Key facts

  • Disease

    N/A

  • Start & end year

    2020
    2025
  • Known Financial Commitments (USD)

    $395,709.6
  • Funder

    Wellcome Trust
  • Principal Investigator

    Dr. Sarah Catherine Hill
  • Research Location

    United Kingdom
  • Lead Research Institution

    Royal Veterinary College
  • Research Priority Alignment

    N/A
  • Research Category

    Pathogen: natural history, transmission and diagnostics

  • Research Subcategory

    Pathogen genomics, mutations and adaptations

  • Special Interest Tags

    N/A

  • Study Type

    Non-Clinical

  • Clinical Trial Details

    N/A

  • Broad Policy Alignment

    Pending

  • Age Group

    Unspecified

  • Vulnerable Population

    Unspecified

  • Occupations of Interest

    Unspecified

Abstract

Yellow fever virus (YFV) outbreaks are escalating worldwide despite the existence of a vaccine. Global travel raises the chance that YFV will become established in Asia, where populations are not vaccinated and an outbreak would be catastrophic. Our ability to predict and control YFV outbreaks is reduced by our lack of knowledge about (i) transmission of YFV in its sylvatic reservoir (non-human primates) and (ii) how YFV escapes from this reservoir to spread amongst people in urban areas. Severe under-reporting in both humans and non-human primates hampers our ability to directly study YFV transmission behaviour. Recent advances in portable genome sequencing and virus genomic epidemiology (including phylodynamics) offer new opportunities to use virus genomic data to reconstruct unobserved outbreak dynamics, even when sampling is sparse. I will combine these techniques to improve our understanding of YFV epidemiology, by: (i) integrating viral genomic data into newly-refined YFV mathematical models for improved outbreak prediction; (ii) implementing phylodynamic approaches to identify drivers of sylvatic transmission, and; (iii) exploiting new strategies to generate virus sequences from traditionally neglected times and locations. My Fellowship research findings will improve YFV outbreak prediction and contribute to the development of refined vaccination strategies.

Publicationslinked via Europe PMC

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View all publications at Europe PMC

Association of poultry vaccination with interspecies transmission and molecular evolution of H5 subtype avian influenza virus.

EpiFusion: Joint inference of the effective reproduction number by integrating phylodynamic and epidemiological modelling with particle filtering.

Genomic epidemiology of early SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics in Bangladesh.

Utilising citizen science data to rapidly assess potential wild bridging hosts and reservoirs of infection: avian influenza outbreaks in Great Britain

Characterization of the genomic sequence of a circo-like virus and of three chaphamaparvoviruses detected in mute swan (Cygnus olor).

Association of poultry vaccination with the interspecies transmission and molecular evolution of H5 subtype avian influenza virus

EpiFusion: Joint inference of the effective reproduction number by integrating phylodynamic and epidemiological modelling with particle filtering